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|Rams 17||Packers(-6.5) 23||45.5||LAR(+6.5) Under|
|Ravens 24||Bills(-2.5) 23||50||BAL(+2.5) Under|
|Browns 26||Chiefs(-10) 33||57.5||CLE(+10) Over|
|Buccaneers 21||Saints(-3) 27||52||NO(-3) Under|
|Last week||Straight: 4-2||Spread: 2-4||O/U: 3-3|
|Overall (Playoffs):||Straight: 4-2||Spread: 2-4||O/U: 3-3|
Best Bets of Divisional Round
Best bet record for the playoffs: 0-3
Well, this is not how I wanted to start off with my playoff predictions. An 0-3 is not a good look at all. The Seahawks just never played to their level vs the Rams, and I was shocked that The Browns scored so easily on the Steelers Defense. Matt Nagy deserves to be investigated for throwing Saints -11. To not go for the extra point after Jimmy Graham’s phenomenal catch has to be fixed. Plus he still has a job!! Roger Goodell please investigate!!! While Commissioner Goodell does that, let’s get back on tracks with this week’s best bets.
1) Los Angeles Rams(+6.5) @ Green Bay Packers
The Rams have won me over. 6.5 is a real tough line as obviously a touchdown is worth 7 points. What they did in Seattle was a pleasure to watch as that defense just simply dominates an elite offense in their home stadium. That is why I am leaning cover in this scenario. While Davante Adams has by far been the best WR in the NFL this year he will be going against the best corner in the game in Jalen Ramsey. This is what the playoffs are about. The best vs the best. The only thing holding the Rams back is the health of Jarrod Goff. Goff wasn’t great in relief as he posted a 9/19 with 155 yds in the air. The one area the Packers have struggled in this year is defending the run as they give up around 113 yards per game. In the Packers 3 losses this year they gave up an average of 157 rushing yards a game. You have to beat them in the trenches on both sides of the ball and the Rams have that formula to me. The Rams are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in January. Usually teams with a first round by start a little slow, so I”l take the Packers to win but the Rams to cover. Packers 23 Rams 17
2) Baltimore Ravens(+2.5) @ Buffalo Bills
Most weeks I would be all over the Buffalo Bills in this game. Something just seems different about this Ravens team. I truly believe everyone in the public eye automatically faded them because of their recent history in the playoffs. This Ravens team reminds me of teams like Virginia Cavaliers, Villanova Wildcats, and Washington Capitals. Teams that would choke in the playoffs the previous years and the year where they weren’t at their best. They make it farther than people expect. The truth is their is no stat to support my process on this play. Both teams have dominated over the second half of the season. Both teams covering every game except one over their combined last 12 games. The Bills looked a little sluggish to me vs the Colts. Indy was able to control tempo with a 3 headed rushing attack and the Ravens to me have just a better version of that. Baltimore is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 playoff road games and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games. Buffalo is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. This is going to be a battle of two heavyweights. I’ll side with the Ravens this time. Ravens 24 Bills 23
3) New Orleans Saints(-3) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (PJ’s Guarantee)
Man, every game in this week’s card is going to be exceptional and this one might be my favorite. Drew Brees vs Tom Brady. Does it get any better than that. These two teams have already met twice this year with the Saints taking both games. The first time was in week 1 in a 34-23 victory that didn’t hold much stock as it was early in the NFL season. In week 9 a statement was made by the Saints has they went into Tampa Bay and crushed the Buccaneers 38-3. Tom Brady in that game went 22/38 209 yds 0TD and 3INT. Brady has actually thrown 5 INT vs the Saints this year which is the most vs any team he has faced this year. The Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in January. The Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New Orleans and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Saints to me are just a better version of the Buccaneers. Better defense, HC, and they have home field advantage. Plus in games where the big 3 have played ( Brees, Kamara, and Thomas) the Saints are undefeated. Saints beat the Buccaneers for the 3rd time this year. Saints 27 Buccaneers 21