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HomeAwayO/UPrediction
Lions 20Bears(-3) 2444.5CHI(-3) Under
Colts(-3) 27Texans 2150.5IND(-3) Under
Raiders(-7.5) 27Jets 2046.5NYJ(+7.5) Over
Bengals 10Dolphins(-11) 2442MIA(-11) Under
Jaguars 21Vikings(-10) 3151MIN(-10) Over
Saints(-3) 23Falcons 2145.5ATL(+3) Under
Browns 23Titans(-5) 3053TEN(-5) Over
Giants 17Seahawks(-11) 2647NYG(+11) Under
Rams(-2.5) 27Cardinals 2448LAR(-2.5) Over
Eagles 17Packers(-9.5) 2749.5GB(-9.5) Under
Patriots 20Chargers(-1.5) 2647LAC(-1.5) Under
Broncos 17Chiefs(-13.5) 3350.5KC(-13.5) Under
Football Team 17Steelers(-7.5) 2443WSH(+7.5) Under
Bills 2149ers(-1) 2447SF(-1) Under
Cowboys 13Ravens(-7.5)
Last week:Straight: 10-6Spread: 7-8-1O/U: 9-7
Overall:Straight: 111-66Spread: 73-98-6O/U: 88-86-3

Best Bets of Week 13

Best bet record 14-20-2

Another week where we didn’t hit one best bet. I am seeing ghost right now. I just can’t see to hit a bet. A wise man once said, ” Shoot to get hot, shoot to stay hot” and we never stop shooting. Lets turn things around wit this week’s best bets.

1) Colts(-3) @ Texans

The Texans have found themselves a lot on the best bets list. Sometimes I am for them and sometimes I’m betting against them. This is one of these times. Deshaun Watson has been the hottest QB in the NFL with 16TD and 0INT over the last 6 games. All of these games were with Will Fuller who has been suspended for the rest of the season for PEDs. The Colts have one of the best defense in the NFL as they are 5th in Yds/allowed per game at 311 and top 10 in both rushing and passing yards allowed per game. Watson is tied for the 6th most times sacked in the NFL this year at 28. I expect the Colts without Will Fuller to be able to get a lot of coverage sacks in this game. Just how integral is Will Fuller to this Texans offense? When the Texans have Fuller on the field, Deshaun Watson turns into a much better quarterback. According to ESPN Stats, Watson’s passer rating jumps from 89.8 to 104.3 while his QBR goes from 64.4 to 77.3 with Fuller on the field. Houston is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 division games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record.  Indianapolis is 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Houston and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams overall. Colts get a much needed win and cover to stay alive in the AFC South race Colts 27 Texans 21

2) Giants(+11) @ Seahawks

Well, as PJ’s Guarantee the Giants failed to cover last week, but I think this week will be a different result. While their will be no Daniel Jones in this game I don’t believe the QB change with Colt Mccoy now being the starter will be that much of a drop off. The Giants are the hotter team as they have won 3 straight and have not allowed more than 20 points in a game in 4 weeks. While this Seahawks D is last on the NFL in passing yards over the last 3 games they have actually been a above average defense. Giving up 22.67 points per game and allowing 264 yds passing. Which would be an 60 yard improvement from their league worst 329yds/game. The Giants are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Seattle is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in December. The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. I think this game is a defensive battle. Seahawks ultimately win but Giants cover. Seahawks 26 Giants 17

3) 49ers(-1) vs Bills (PJ’s Guarantee)

We are on losing streak with our guarantees. With the Giants failing to cover last week, we are now 6-6 in this years PJ’s Guarantees. Lets get back on track with the 49ers on Monday Night. This is a very interesting game as due to Covid restrictions in Santa Clara the 49ers will host their next 2 homes games in Arizona as they will play at State Farm Stadium. This 49ers team is finally getting healthy on both sides of the ball and it really showed last week vs the Rams. The Bills are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. The 49ers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 Monday games. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Bills have the Steelers next week which might be the game of the year in the NFL. I have a hunch that hungrier team in the 49ers will come out fast as the Bills look ahead to next week and the 49ers come out with a win on Monday night to keep their playoff hopes alive. 49ers 24 Bills 21

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PJ is 6-6 on guarantees this season